Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.008373 0.009828 0.011572 0.013847 0.016789 0.020538 0.025802
2025-09-21 0.006474 0.008185 0.010468 0.013851 0.018948 0.026745 0.040517
2025-09-28 0.005618 0.007471 0.010141 0.014489 0.021893 0.035169 0.064521
2025-10-05 0.005194 0.007210 0.010311 0.015813 0.026350 0.048649 0.112892
2025-10-12 0.004731 0.006779 0.010091 0.016374 0.029643 0.062217 0.185327
2025-10-19 0.004240 0.006214 0.009522 0.016119 0.031137 0.072815 0.276174
2025-10-26 0.003904 0.005845 0.009211 0.016263 0.033607 0.088629 0.459040
2025-11-02 0.003571 0.005433 0.008750 0.015974 0.034889 0.102246 0.730580
2025-11-09 0.003210 0.004933 0.008050 0.015002 0.033946 0.106774 0.978394
2025-11-16 0.002924 0.004535 0.007495 0.014247 0.033370 0.112815 1.379508
2025-11-23 0.002774 0.004364 0.007355 0.014430 0.035769 0.137007 3.095701
2025-11-30 0.002591 0.004115 0.007028 0.014092 0.036357 0.152923 6.326011
2025-12-07 0.002384 0.003821 0.006610 0.013532 0.036317 0.168309 16.370566
2025-12-14 0.002246 0.003644 0.006415 0.013528 0.038449 0.207182 266.042323
2025-12-21 0.002171 0.003579 0.006448 0.014145 0.043541 0.295643 NaN
2025-12-28 0.002145 0.003607 0.006687 0.015425 0.052839 0.513808 NaN
2026-01-04 0.002072 0.003531 0.006677 0.015968 0.059301 0.794136 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001960 0.003365 0.006437 0.015721 0.061297 1.021715 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001879 0.003257 0.006322 0.015860 0.065954 1.526142 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001784 0.003113 0.006099 0.015581 0.067742 2.030934 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001665 0.002909 0.005711 0.014642 0.064239 2.037752 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001565 0.002740 0.005394 0.013911 0.061918 2.155537 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001516 0.002674 0.005332 0.014088 0.066728 3.643319 NaN